Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Natural Gas Play for Tomorrow

This is what I am following today, eyeing the inventories report tomorrow.



Close but not optimal yet.


UPDATE 12:45PM:

Here we go, as close to optimal as we will get:



Note that INO generated a red alert on UNG through their tool: their trade triangle tool.


(click)

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4 comments:

Bike said...

You said that the UNG straddle wasn't yet optimal.

What conditions are required for an optimal straddle trade?

Thank you

The Shocked Investor said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
The Shocked Investor said...

Hello Bike. The optimal would be when UNG is at $11 exactly and both calls and puts cost the same. Note that if UNG does not move and it ends as $11 the loss is 100%, with only 2 days to expiration. Leverage is extreme. 3% is nothing for UNG, but you never know. I like it.

October 14, 2009 12:49 PM

Bike said...

Thank you very much.

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