Friday, April 1, 2011

Roubini Says No to Banking Bailouts As Will Lead To Sovereign Crisis; Spain Too Big to Save, Serious Fundamental Problems

In Italy today, Nouriel Roubini said today that Fed and ECB's "policy divide" may be destabilizing.

  • He says covering the banking losses and putting them in balance sheet of governments does not make sense. The backs of the governments will be broken. There may be a sovereign crisis on top of  a banking crisis.. Now that will damage the real economy.
  • Says fundamental problems of Spain are serious. Danger of spreading to Spain, too big to fail, but too big to save.
  • ECB will likely start raising rates in April, but 5 countries on the periphery where there is no growth and serious issues. Early hikes will worsen competitiveness.
  • There are economic policy splits between ECB and U.S., they are on different paths, and also on fiscal policy (stimulus in US, austerity in Europe): Dangerous and destabilizing.
Dr. Doom is very gloomy.

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